I would be happy to see a strong two party scenario emerging in India (ideally AAP and BJP as the only two parties out there)... I am sure this is a more likely scenario going forward, thanks to the growth in informed strategic voters... just like what happened in Delhi.
In particular, staunch INC fanboys (for lack of a better word) who invariably are anti-BJP would have learnt from the previous election and the nationwide trend that INC has lost its grounds and the only way to keep BJP out would be to vote for AAP. The result: AAP strengthens its victory margins in all places and gains wins where BJP were marginal winners in the previous election... So this win for AAP, in a way, is a de facto win for INC fanboys :)
A very good test of my argument will be the actual vote share for the parties in swing constituencies... In places where AAP won a seat that was previously held by BJP, BJP's vote share would have remained the same, AAP's vote share should have increased and Cong's vote share should have decreased.
I used to be a huge fan of the INC during the Narashima Rao regime... It really felt like the end of nepotism in the INC but INC simply didn't have a legitimate, democratic succession planning. In addition to getting rid of nepotism, a legitimate democratic succession planning would be one where the parties set term limits for its leaders. Just because a leader is popular among the masses should not mean that she/he gets a longer run at the helm. Had sheila dixit step aside after her second term, she would have gone out as a revered leader and she would have let Delhites taste some variety in leadership from within the INC.
In particular, staunch INC fanboys (for lack of a better word) who invariably are anti-BJP would have learnt from the previous election and the nationwide trend that INC has lost its grounds and the only way to keep BJP out would be to vote for AAP. The result: AAP strengthens its victory margins in all places and gains wins where BJP were marginal winners in the previous election... So this win for AAP, in a way, is a de facto win for INC fanboys :)
A very good test of my argument will be the actual vote share for the parties in swing constituencies... In places where AAP won a seat that was previously held by BJP, BJP's vote share would have remained the same, AAP's vote share should have increased and Cong's vote share should have decreased.
I used to be a huge fan of the INC during the Narashima Rao regime... It really felt like the end of nepotism in the INC but INC simply didn't have a legitimate, democratic succession planning. In addition to getting rid of nepotism, a legitimate democratic succession planning would be one where the parties set term limits for its leaders. Just because a leader is popular among the masses should not mean that she/he gets a longer run at the helm. Had sheila dixit step aside after her second term, she would have gone out as a revered leader and she would have let Delhites taste some variety in leadership from within the INC.
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